Monday, December 27 2010
Fools and Their Money?
Bah!Prune-eating readers of this blog (since I haven't been posting regularly, you're going to have to take care of yourselves) will have no doubt noticed a certain amount of populist sentiment on my part about wine prices. The cost of production of a bottle of wine varies based on technology applied, the cost of crops (bunch thinning and winnowing at the picking table increase raw material costs) and such, but the cost of producing a bottle is in the end both finite and not stratospherically high. Where transgressively high wine prices come from is not an honest mark-up on a finite cost, but rather from artificially driven demand on a limited supply of product. While this is nice work if you can get it, at the end of the day it can often mean that when a winery figures out a gimmick to increase demand, they can get some 'stupid money' chasing a limited supply of their wine, driving the costs out of sight. I find this irritating.
A self-serving attitude? Well, of course. After all, Winexpert sells consumer winemaking products that allow you to make single-vineyard Hyper-Premium wines at five or six dollars a bottle, packaging included. But it goes back beyond that, way to the dawn of my own personal quest for wine knowledge, the early 1980's. I was learning about wine and the journey took me to some wonderful places. Back then we were getting great bottles of wine out of California, Australia, France, Germany and Italy, from prestigious producers, for the equivalent of a few hours pay--we lined up every year to buy a precious few bottles of first-growth Bordeaux and still had grocery money left over. We got a wine education that today is nearly priceless, because times changed, and as the economy boomed, a wine bubble developed--a great big bubble.
Robert Parker. And this is his good side.Partly it's Robert Parker's fault. He came along and rated the '82 vintage of Bordeaux the highest ever, with his dippy, worthless 100 point scale. After that, prices spiked to the moon, with people who didn't really drink wine jumping on the bandwagon with those who did, driving sales and prices at a rate never seen in history. People who wanted to look like they had taste would buy an '82 Petrus for a thousand or two thousand dollars, never mind that they couldn't appreciate it. I used to work in the trendiest restaurant in Vancouver and we got stockbrokers in who would order 'the most expensive wine you have'. When I explained that the Château d'Yquem was four thousand but wouldn't be a good choice for their meal, they'd wave me off and insist haughtily that it was their prerogative.
Now it's to the point where new world wines from producing countries like Argentina and Chile, and iconoclast wines from those willing to work outside of the old system in traditional countries and discard appellations (like Vinos Sin Ley, a favorite of mine) are the only option for people trying to educate their palates--I couldn't possibly afford to have tasted dozens of First-Growth Bordeaux and Premier Cru Burgundies, had I not done it 30 years ago. I'm not sure what beginning wine aficionado could, these days.
It was also partly the fault of increasing velocity of money in the world economy. Boom and bust cycles come and go, but there's always a boom somewhere, be it dot-com or oil sector or real estate. Fast money, once it finds a potential outlet for showing off, flows like water. I suppose this might make me seem an elitist, wanting only the truly 'worthy' to drink fabulous wine, but that's not really it. I was always grateful for the opportunity to drink wines beyond my palate, because I figured it was the only way for it to get better--drink the good stuff and then catch up to the taste as you can. And I'm not averse to people being able to spend their lucre in any way they like--I'm an Austrian-School believer, having studiously overcome a socialist upbringing. But stupid money irritates me in the worst way, and stupid money has been chasing wine for decades now. Once it was Heitz Martha's Vineyards (nice, if a little funky sometimes) and then it was Screaming Eagle (meh) whose cult status ensures that people on the list to get a bottle at $125 can instantly re-sell it for a thousand.
Now it turns out that Chateau Lafite 2008 is selling like the selliest wine in history in China. Lafite has been cultivating the Chinese market for the last decade. Never a bad strategy, working your brand in a strongly growing economy, and two things have served to boost the recent price and desirability of the wine. First, Parker rated the '08's at 98-100 points, ensuring that people whose purchase motivations can easily be manipulated by a number will be willing to pay more.
Second, in a rather cynical move, Lafite has embossed the Chinese character for 'Eight' on every bottle.
Eight? Eight what?To cultural outsiders this may seem weird, but China has some very strong customs and beliefs. It would be easy for cultural absolutists to dismiss them as superstitions, but they're much more about the fabric of belief and the worldview of the Chinese than can be dismissed with an insensitive label. Some of the beliefs are as folkloric as anything western: where we are dismayed by spilling salt (I always toss some over my left shoulder to blind the devil) the Chinese think that building a house facing north will bring bad luck. Others are more deeply rooted symbolically, and very important, such as the idea that the number 4 (in Chinese, si – 四) is very unlucky because it sounds like the word for 'death' (si – 死). Contrariwise, the number 8 (ba – 八) will bring prosperity because it sounds like the word for wealth (fa – 发). Putting an 8 on the bottle is a genius-grade marketing move, but pretty transparent. It hasn't improved the wine, nor increased the cost of production, but it has driven the price over the moon, with wine that sold as futures at £2,000/case going for over £10,000/case in only a few months.
This makes me cranky. Not because I feel that the Chinese deserve the opportunity to enjoy the wine any less than anyone else, but because I highly suspect their motivation for desiring it, and condemn Lafite for catering to it. Is this stupid money? I sure feel like it is, but that's definitely cultural absolutism talking. Franz Boas was right when he said that "civilization is not something absolute, but ... is relative, and ... our ideas and conceptions are true only so far as our civilization goes". Despite my attempts to see it in a greater context, I can't get over the feeling that somehow the wine isn't getting its due--it's going to be collected, traded, obsessed over, hoarded, soliloquized, gifted and envied. What it probably isn't going to be, is drank by anyone.
And that's a dang shame. Wine is first and foremost a beverage of pleasure and sharing. Changing the dynamic of its desirability based on anything but hedonic pleasure makes it into something else that I don't want to participate in--not that I could, at those prices.
I guess the only cure for my envy is to open a bottle of Stag's Leap Merlot (made myself for a minute fraction of £10,000/case, let me assure you) and drown my sorrows. Now there's a plan. If anyone would like to contribute to a fund to buy me a bottle of Lafite, please let me know. I'm sure that it would help as well.
Posted by Culturally Relative Tim AT 10:30AM | 8 Comments | Post A Comment |
Comments
BenT
Posted 8 months ago
And the wine trade is changing underneath the feet of the chasers of parkers perfects and lafites. More and more, wine buyers appear to be buying wine that is both ready to drink and affordable by every day standards. The schism between those who can afford a blue chip wine and those who don't want to has never been greater.
Tim
Posted 8 months ago
Good point Ben: I recall feeling like wine merchants were my allies in the journey, and now it's like they're conspirators to boost prices and deny me access to wines I can now only read about.
Luckily, there's still emerging regions and iconoclastic producers, and, of course, Fred Franzia putting a lot of folks out of business. Heh.
John
Posted 8 months ago
These wines are more "investments" than beverages, I think. You buy them at top-dollar well before their ready to consume, then cellar them and hope nothing goes wrong. Then, when they're aged properly (and you can't tell this unless you the case to sample) you sell them at auction or through a private sale.
For me, the best wines I've had never cost more than USD 150. It's a beverage, not an investment.
Tim
Posted 8 months ago
Excellent point, John.
That's what causes bubbles, like the terrible real estate conundrum the world is in at this moment: a house stopped being the place you lived and became an investment or an ATM or a casino bet--people were buying them on spec, hoping to sell them down the line for more, hoping it would always go up.
When wine stops being sunlight and poetry captured in a glass and starts becoming a speculative investment, then it's no longer wine: it's a way for one fool to await a greater one to buy a vaporous nuance of false promises.
Norm
Posted 8 months ago
Listen, I like your style of writing. I've been a subscriber to WineMaker magazine for several years and take much delight in your musings. (The Wine Wizard is my other favorite author in the magazine. She's incredible.)
I just read your blog "Refreshment Beverages and Cultural Relativism." I was particularly delighted in your explanation of the drinks offered to Christ at His crucifixion. I had heard or read something about that at some point in the past but it wasn't clear. You have provided a clearer picture of that event.
About your conundrum concerning the marketing tactics for alcopops. I also have reservations - but I also enjoy a quatrain of those occasionally. Tim, are you old enough to remember the catch-line for Pepsi Cola several decades ago? The admonition, "Now it's Pepsi for those who think young" was set to a contemporary melody and intentionally promoted at the young set. It subsequently captured an older generation who wanted to be hip. I'm certain similar trends continue to occur with other beverages.
In conclusion, your statement, 'Whatever wine you like to drink is good wine. Nobody can be the arbiter of your personal taste' has a great deal of merit and I embrace that philosophy. I've tried, I really have, but I'm just not fond of white wines in general. I dearly love hearty, beefy reds. My favorite is Australian shiraz but several others also rank high on my list. So, I will continue to drink what I like while exploring for others.
Oh, I received a bottle of Barefoot Moscato for Christmas. That was a sweet treat and enjoyable but not something I want to indulge in on a regular basis.
Thanks for sharing,
Norm Kirkland
Tim
Posted 8 months ago
Thanks Norm!
Alison is one of my favorite writers as well: she's not only good in print, she's an articulate and passionate winemaker in person, with the cutest little baby you could imagine--such a good soul.
I'm not sure abut the Pepsi campaign, but it's de rigeur these days: appeal to people's aspirations, not their true needs.
As for the arbiter of personal tastes, never worry about your (or anyone else' for that matter) taste: 'My fathers house has many mansions' applies to all manner of things.
Cheers,
Tim
Bent
Posted 8 months ago
Tim -
I don't know if you have an opinion on this - I would assume you do, though-;-)
I started noticing a change in wine mercantile at the same time I noticed a shift in how restaurants are re-leveling. It used to be high-end linen service coupled with a wine list that was studded with Names and Points - increasingly, wine lists are reflecting the idiosyncrasies of the chef - cheaper bottles meant to match with the food - more as an effort to offer that experience to diners than to sell a 200 dollar bottle, marked up, because of pedigree.
I have paid those prices and really appreciate more and more restaurants in Portland Seattle and Chicago that are offering good wine, coupled with someone on staff who can lead you to a good bottle, less based on what you can afford, and more based on personal preference.
You mentioned bubbles, and I agree - its not just the investment bubble of bluechip wines, but the purveyor bubble. Every high-end restaurant felt the last two years, economically, and smart chefs (including Ferran Adria and Grant Achatz) are opening cheaper restaurants - in part to have more freedom, but also to continue to compete in a changing gustatory climate. I really think this re-leveling is also impacting the wine trade.
Tim
Posted 8 months ago
What, me have an opinion? @@
That's a very cogent observation. There are restaurants out there that instead of riding the four P's (Points, Prestige, Parker and Prices) are treating the wine list as a compliment, and as you note, a condiment to the menu.
I was recently at the Four Seasons in Vancouver, and while Chartwell, their restaurant has always been a bastion of stuffy expensiveness, the bar has a great new menu and a wine list that reflects a desire to allow customers to match wine with food. They even have half-price bottles on Sundays, such a blindingly brilliant idea I had trouble stopping at two bottles.
I can hardly wait for the re-leveling to reach all the way down through the trade. We could be living in winey times again, despite the pessimism I expressed in my blog.
I could stand that.